Thursday, December 6, 2012

Chargers @ Steelers Addendum


Well, Ben Roethlisberger is back! Either his ribs healed or, according to Pittsburgh-area conspiracy theories, his newborn child is now born enough that he can stop faking his injury and get back on the football field. Not going to affect the betting lines, so I'll let that go.

Now, topbet.eu still doesn't have the line posted, but I've seen Chargers +7 and Chargers +7.5 on the 'nets. Let's just assume Chargers +7.5 to eliminate the possibility for a push (I hate lines that aren't half-point). Now, I like the Steelers to win relatively easy here, but...for Pittsburgh, a 7 point win is a relatively easy win. They rarely win big, no matter who they are playing. They absolutely throttled RG III and his merry band of handless receivers....and won by 15. They played pretty damn well in Cincinnati...and won by 7. That's just what they do.

So, against a Chargers team that kind of sucks but does have a few pieces? I think they will be hard pressed to win by 8. I'd say if you played this one out ten times, more often than not, the Steelers do not win by 8 or more. I still remember Pittsburgh beasting all over San Diego in 2008, by the score of 11-10. I remember them jumping all over San Diego in 2009...and winning by 7. Steelers should certainly win, but I just don't think they blow San Diego away on the scoreboard.

MEAT'S PICK: Chargers +7.5, $25

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