In 2010, I put down $25 or so on Green Bay at 25:1 odds to make it to the Super Bowl. This was after week 15, where they needed to win out and get some help from the Giants to even make it to the postseason. This was pretty much the only bet I won that year, but it won me $625 and led to about 2 hours of work trying to actually get a check from Bodog when I withdrew some of it. Had the Steelers to win that Super Bowl...that would have really put me in the money. Oh well. Win some, lose...well, most.
So this week, I put $25 down on the Steelers to win the Super Bowl. +4000 odds, or 40:1. So if somehow, Ben Roethlisberger comes back, struggles the Steelers to the playoffs, turns everything around and ends up with the Lombardi...I win a cool $1,000! Yeah, probably better off playing Powerball. Oh well.
Other bets this week (I'm going low dollar amounts because I suck at betting and, well, I don't want to lose a lot of money):
• $10 on Philadelphia +10 over Dallas.
Already went over my rationale for this one. I can't see struggling Dallas beating Philly by more than 10 in that Greek amphitheater they call a stadium. Tony Romo is a living embodiment of tragedy and comedy. Nick Foles and Bryce Brown are gonna do this! By this, I mean lose by like, 3.
HEAT approved. Double down on this one.
• $10 on Carolina -3 over Kansas City
Game's in Kansas City, Kansas City isn't awful if they don't turn the ball over, but...it's the Chiefs, it's Brady Quinn, and there's probably a 50/50 chance that Carolina blows them out, let alone wins by three. I'll take my chances.
HEAT approved. Don't get too crazy with this one though.
• $5 on Houston -5.5 over Tennessee
Same as above. Pretty decent chance that Houston just straight up rolls over Tennessee. I don't like this as much as I like the others, so I only put $5 on it. That and I don't want to waste all of my money right off the bat. We'll see how I do this week before we start getting crazy.
• $5 parlay (to win $30) on:
Texas +11.5 over Kansas State
Georgia +7.5 over Alabama
Georgia Tech +14 over Florida State
Taking the big underdogs here to all cover. Was going to add UCLA +8.5 over Stanford as well, but decided against it.
HEAT'S VIEW: These are three great games to parlay. I think that K-State will cover the spread as well as the Tide. But I am a little biased with Bama. GT is a great pick with the points as well as UCLA, with the points, if anyone would like to substitute with what should be a good game.
Now, I don't watch much college football. The only game I'm really confident with here is the Texas-K State game. I'm not big on Texas, and I liked Kansas State a lot this year, but this just screams let down to me. This is still a tough match-up even if K. State were undefeated and not crying miserably into their flannel, and even then I'd say 11.5 is too much. Now, it's way too much. Hell, I think Texas wins straight-up. I talked myself into taking them on the moneyline here.
Georgia and Ga. Tech are just rumblings from people I trust, and so I figured I'd throw them in to make this bet worth something. Alabama is awesome, but Georgia is no slouch. They've been playing out of their minds lately. I think they have a decent chance to beat Alabama, and a very decent chance to lose by 7 or less.
Tech I have no idea about. I have a friend who lives in Vegas, went to Florida State, and loves Tech as a 14 pt underdog. Sure, they got stomped by Georgia, but I'm just not feeling FSU enough to think he's wrong. Actually, I pretty much hate FSU. So whatever, I'll just take his word for it.
• $5 on Texas +350 to win $17.50
I just love this line and talked myself into this bet while I wrote the above passage. This shit is fun! Let's just hope I don't lose every bet so I can keep playing.
HEAT: Happy betting. Don't beat your loved ones!
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