Normally we only post about team sports and athletic related issues, but while trading emails with a fellow gentleman, an interesting topic arose.
While discussing signing up for a local kickball team, it was brought to my attention that my friend would not be able to play this season due to night classes he will be taking in the hopes to begin teaching for some extra "walking around" money. Being the captain that I am, I criticized his priorities along with his live in girlfriend and their small mutt. He in turned informed me that his girl, let's call her Nikki Pye, would soon be a nurse and finished with her schooling. She would accomplish this just in time to save a fellow acquaintance let's call him Matt Bergantzel, from a foreseeable heart attack bound to happen within the next 1.5 years.
This lead me to think what the odds might be of this happening.
Matt Bergantzel background: Oregon born and raised. Moved to FL to play soccer for Nova. Tore his knee but met a great group of party people. Is banned for life from an Iowa casino for stealing a Boyz to Men poster. Has done many other unprintable acts. But most importantly, treats his body like a Checkers waste site. Wine and pizza are daily staples in his diet.
So, what are the chances of a heart attack striking within the next 1.5 years. I am terrible at predicting odds, as can be seen in early football posts. But whatever the numbers, I want the under.
Meat? Anonymous viewers? Feel free to chime in.
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A heart attack for a 30 year old Chernobyl of a human? In the next 1.5 years? Somewhat athletic? Like occasionally plays kickball games? Loves Boyz II Men?
Well, this is a tough one. Obviously, he fits the mold physically. But...heart attacks rarely happen to people this young except in extreme cases. Like, 700 lb Heart Attack Grill spokesman cases.
So, I'd say odds are probably multiple thousands to one. Like 10,000:1. If even. But...sportsbooks don't give you odds like that. For example, you can get the Astros to win the World Series at 200:1. The odds are probably closer to 2,000,000:1. I think you could simulate the 2013 MLB season 2 million times and never get an Astros victory. So, for the sake of this drill, I'd imagine you couldn't get odds better than 500:1. So, my odds to you, Heat, are +50,000. Take it or leave it!
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A heart attack for a 30 year old Chernobyl of a human? In the next 1.5 years? Somewhat athletic? Like occasionally plays kickball games? Loves Boyz II Men?
Well, this is a tough one. Obviously, he fits the mold physically. But...heart attacks rarely happen to people this young except in extreme cases. Like, 700 lb Heart Attack Grill spokesman cases.
So, I'd say odds are probably multiple thousands to one. Like 10,000:1. If even. But...sportsbooks don't give you odds like that. For example, you can get the Astros to win the World Series at 200:1. The odds are probably closer to 2,000,000:1. I think you could simulate the 2013 MLB season 2 million times and never get an Astros victory. So, for the sake of this drill, I'd imagine you couldn't get odds better than 500:1. So, my odds to you, Heat, are +50,000. Take it or leave it!
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