Me strike you out long time!
Damn sons, I expected Yu Darvish to mow down the Astros last week and break me out of my slump, but I didn't expect him to come within an out of perfect-gaming those sad sacks. Yu was cruising, but a high pitch count (he was clearly tired) forced him to go after hitters at the end. One of them, Marwin McWhothefuck, got enough to send one back up the middle and that was all she wrote. Wonder if you can bet on perfect games? Jk, you still would have lost.
So alright, I'm 11-5 now, I think. Maybe 11-6. Either way, slump is busted.
Which means I'm always going to be right again, and with that in mind, let's get on that NCAA basketball championship game tonight!
Line on the game is Louisville -3.5. I don't know what I like there. I think Michigan wins, but I'm not the biggest college basketball person so I'm not sure enough to bet. If I had to, I'm taking Michigan plus the points. Moneyline is UM +155, which I think is another pretty good value bet if you think the Wolverines are taking this game.
So, instead of betting the line, I'm going to do what I typically do for the Penguins here and just take the over. These teams for the most part have scored 80-ish points a game. I look at this like I look at the UM-Kansas game, which turned into a shootout in the end. If any team gets up at all early, I think this game will go the same way. Louisville got behind against Wichita St on Saturday and just turned it on late. Trey Burke and Michigan are the same way. So an O/U of 138.0? A 69-69 game? I think we'll have that tonight.
MEAT'S PICK: OVER 138.0
This game is a tough one because you expect the Ville to come out firing after a flat start against NW. SE. State. On the other hand Michigan has proven they can score with anyone. I think if McGary can add another double double and the their token white guy realizes his only job is to shoot three's Mich has a good chance to keep the game close.
ReplyDeleteHowever, Louisville ain't Cuse and their players actually know how to shoot the ball and if Mich can't keep up they will get ran out of the building. Also important to note, the Ville is certainly the more consistent team and doesn't have a loss to PSU on the books.
All and all I think Ville takes it, but lets hope by less than 4pts so I win both my bracket pools and my hedge bet.
Also I am taking the over on Mich missed FT's, as apparently their who team doesn't know how to shoot a foul shot.
I checked my book for that ft prop for you...they didn't offer it. Dicks.
ReplyDelete