Thursday, September 25, 2014

HOLY F-ING S IT'S BEEN FOREVER



It's been fucking AGES since I left yinz with smoking wet bets to make your money fornicate to. I apologize. I will now rectify the shit out of that.

Putting down 7 bets this week, playas. For accounting purposes, assume I bet $100 per bet:


1. BAYLOR @ IOWA STATE OVER 71.5

Dudes, Baylor hits every single queefing over to the point that I have no idea why books keep offering them. They wizened up last week with Oregon (over was above 80 for the Ducks last week), but Baylor will probably beat ISU 70-3, just barely pushing it over 71.5. And just barely paying me sweet, sexy off-shore betting cash.


2. NEW ORLEANS @ DALLAS OVER 53.5

This should be easy. Dallas is still scoring and still giving up a shit ton of points. Hell, even in coming back and beating St. Louis last week they gave up 31. New Orleans has been struggling a little bit but even a struggling Saints team should put 40 on Dallas. I was expecting this over to be in the 60s.

This one should be pushing 40 by halftime. I'm on board.


3. PHILADELPHIA @ SAN FRANCISCO OVER 50.5

I am loving some overs this week. Philadelphia keeps getting overs in the 50s and they keep going over them, easily. San Francisco isn't 2012 SF. They should give up points.

I'm going to keep pounding Philly and Baylor overs until they give me reason not to do so. MAKE IT DRIZZLE


4. JACKSONVILLE @ SAN DIEGO OVER 44.5

STOP BETTING OVERS, MEAT! I can't. They are so burning wet that I can't avoid them.

This one I don't get. I understand SD is all about ball control and whatnot, but Jacksonville won't allow that. Their defense is so bad that the Chargers will have to fall on purpose to hold the ball for 35 minutes. Jacksonville has given up what, 35-40+ in each of the first three weeks? Why won't that continue? In-between picks, Blake Bortles should put up 17 himself. This one seems criminally low.


5. TENNESSEE +7.5 @ INDIANAPOLIS

This seems like an easy Indy bet, but I don't really believe that. Tennessee has talent and only seems to put it together when they aren't supposed to (see week 1 - I had a feeling the Titans would win that one), and I think they might be Mr. Hyde this week. Plus, Indianapolis outside the dropped-interception whisperer Andrew Luck himself is just a shitty team. Their roster is garbage outside of like 5 players, to the point that they gave Gosder motherfucking Cherilus like $40 mil. I don't think the Colts deserve to get 7.5 against anybody not named Jacksonville.



6. NYG +3.5 @ WASHINGTON

Just because Kirk Cousins is in doesn't make Washington suddenly not suck. They are like Indianapolis without the boy wonder QB. The Giants may suck too but they suck less and I like them to win this one straight-up.

If DeAngelo Hall were playing...I'd put even more money on the Giants. Let's go Eli, try not to grimace too much you droopy motherfucker.


7. NYG @ WASHINGTON OVER 46.0 

Might as well close it out with an over. Both these teams suck more on defense than offense, and they have been putting up big point totals in recent weeks. No reason for that to stop here, as the best defensive player on the field will probably be somebody boring like Brian Orakpo. These teams have some godawful rosters on that side of the ball especially.


So that's that! Oh, survivor pick:

PITTSBURGH

I am not taking San Diego because I don't take the consensus (Heat is all over that one though) and this week like, 70% of people are taking SD. Upsets happen and when they do in a game like this, 70% of people are out with them. If taking the consensus got you to the top, everybody would finish the season undefeated. But they don't. The key to survivor, IMO, is avoiding those few games that decimate pools.

I don't love Pittsburgh because they don't deserve your confidence and Tampa strangely matches up well against them - tall WRs to get pass interferences, good running game, and a shitty QB who makes shitty reads because the Steelers don't get interceptions and therefore shitty QBs like Ryan Fitzpatrick have like 9 lives against them to retardedly gunsling) - but they are playing at home and should win this one.

Also considered: New Orleans @ Dallas, Houston (guh) v. Buffalo

Friday, November 22, 2013

WOOO FOOTBALL WEEK 12

Image is second result for search of "football yeah". No idea who it belongs to. Good for them.

I'm down $25 and have lost motivation to write for some reason. Weirdly lethargic. I need adderall.

Anyway, here's my bets this week:



6.5 POINT TEASER: Detroit -2.5 over Tampa and Denver/NE OVER 47.5, -120

I think Tampa could win this game, but I do think Detroit will. So I'm going to take Tampa straight up to cover 9 points, but at 2.5? Basically hedging my bets with a large possibility to 'middle' this one. I think Denver/NE over 47.5 is basically automatic. They gon' be flingin' it.




STEELERS +1.0 @ CLEVELAND, -110

I think the Steelers win. Cleveland's defense is awesome but, one great CB isn't going to shut down the Steelers offense like it does the Cowboys or Lions of the world, as even though Antonio Brown is clearly their best WR, no one receiving threat makes this sad offense go. That and Cleveland's offensive showing last week suggests to me that with minimal pick-sixes, Pittsburgh should win this one and keep alive their hopes at getting blown out in the wild card round.



BEARS +1.0 @ ST. LOUIS -105

Same as above - I think the slight road dog wins. St. Louis has looked capable like, two or three times this season. They are coming off of a bye, sure, but I still think they are better at losing than they are at winning. Chicago has been surprisingly competent with Josh McCown and he's facing Kellen Clemens soooo just bet on it. Don't actually watch it.



6-POINT TEASER: DALLAS +8.5 @ NYG, OVER 40.5, -110

Not sure why I teased this, as I think Dallas will win straight up. NYG has put together the least-impressive four game winning streak I've ever seen...seriously, struggle to win v. Minnesota, 15-7 win v. Eagles and Matt Barkley/crippled Vick, struggle haaaard to win at home v. Oakland, and then a win over Scott Tolzein and co. The Cowboys are like the only healthy, decent quarterbacked team they've faced in a month. I guess I figured that over 40.5 is a lock as it will rain fumbles and pick-sixes, but get on Dallas in this one.




SAN DIEGO +5.5 @ KANSAS CITY, -110

I think the Chargers "surprise" the world and beat KC straight up. San Diego is basically the second decent team they'll face to this point in the season that actually has a healthy QB. I don't think KC is that good so I'll take the points.




TAMPA BAY +9.0 @ DETROIT, -110

I also think the Bucs have a good shot here. And Detroit always lets me down. And this week they are the consensus survivor favorite, meaning they WILL fuck you if you pick them. Bucs should at least keep this one within a TD. Detroit hasn't actually beaten anybody by 7+ all season.


Let's get it.








Thursday, November 21, 2013

Stuck in a rut



Damn it, I suck now. 


INDY -3 OVER TENNESSEE (@ TENN) -115


Push.




6-POINT TEASER: NE +8.5 @ CAR and OVER 40.0 -110

Up $9! You're looking at one guy who couldn't give a fuck less about "the call". 




6-POINT TEASER: GREEN BAY +11 @ NYG and CINCINNATI +0.5 over CLEVE -110


Really appreciate that late pick-6, Tolzein. Good job, my man. 




6.5 POINT TEASER: AZ -0.5 @ JAX and DENVER -2.0 v. KC -120


Easy. +$7.




6.5 POINT TEASER: INDY +3.5 and DETROIT +5 @ PITT -120


The Steelers pulling away late on the strength of Jim Schartz'z insane fake field goal call does me in, but I can't complain. Thanks for the gift, Jim! -$3.


And finally, a loss on the big teaser.


AZ -0.5 @ JAX
INDY +3.5 @ TENN
DET +5.0 @ PITT
GB +11.5 @ NYG
GB/NYG OVER 35.5


That leaves me at $-13 for the week and -$25 over the last two. Gotta pick it up this week. 







Thursday, November 14, 2013

Week 11's DRIPPING MOIST ACTION



Ok, I'm down $12 after last week. Let's get it back, $10 per bet, starting with:


INDY -3 OVER TENNESSEE (@ TENN) -115

$100 wins $187, if you bet real actual monies.

Indianapolis has one terrible game and a line that should almost be double digits is 3. This seems a pretty healthy game to at least push (it started at -3.5). Ryan Fitzpatrick is leading the charge for the Titans. Read that again. Ryan Fitzpatrick is at the helm.

Bet against Ryan Fitzpatrick.



6-POINT TEASER: NE +8.5 @ CAR and OVER 40.0 -110

I think New England wins this one straight-up, and I think a relatively healthy number of points will be scored (MNF teams seem to be flingin' it this year), so I'll certainly take NE and eight and a half and over a middling total of 40. Seems like one of those 27-24 types. My only fear is Bad Cam showing up and sabotaging everything.



6-POINT TEASER: GREEN BAY +11 @ NYG and CINCINNATI +0.5 over CLEVE -110

I'm liking the 6-point teasers as they have similar vigs to the straight up bets, and this one allows you to cross 10 off for GB and get the Bengals as a pick 'em in a game they should win. You can make a living at 60% hit rate on 6-point teasers (betting $100 and hitting 60% would leave you with $115). I think GB will easily keep it within 10 of the Eli Manning Pick-Six Express what with Tolzein actually practicing this week like he's going to play football, so I'm quite comfortable throwing them in with Cincy here. This is a huge game for the Bengals, at home, and they need to win it. As a Steeler fan, I hope they fuck it up, but I'm being pragmatic here.



6.5 POINT TEASER: AZ -0.5 @ JAX and DENVER -2.0 v. KC -120

Went with 6.5 instead of 6 so I could get AZ as a straight win. They should murder the Jags, that win they had last week was fluky as absolute fuck and while I have nightmares anytime I bet on Carson Palmer, I think this is a game they win like 95% of the time. It's my survivor pick this week, as Jaxmas has come and gone and I can now start backing Jags opponents. I wanted to tease this with Houston straight-up over Oakland, but the site wouldn't let me include that one in the teaser. As such, I'll throw Denver in because I think they'll win this going away. In hindsight, I should have thrown Denver into a 6 point teaser since the half-point is meaningless, but whatever.



6.5 POINT TEASER: INDY +3.5 and DETROIT +5 @ PITT -120

Do you see either of these teams losing by more than a field goal, if you see them losing period? I don't, give me my monayyyy!



This week's large teaser (5 team, 6.5 pt teaser, +350 odds) with all of my week 11 favorites and an over to tie it together:

AZ -0.5 @ JAX
INDY +3.5 @ TENN
DET +5.0 @ PITT
GB +11.5 @ NYG
GB/NYG OVER 35.5

Uh-oh. I have a lot riding on road teams.

Oh well, these saucy picks are guaranteed to pay big!








SON OF A...


Way to come back with a bang, Meat.

Was away all week, no bets on week 10. Week 9's results:

7-POINT TEASER: ATLANTA +14.5 and ATL/CAR OVER 37.0

Loss, ATL is a joke. - $10


ATLANTA +7.5 over CAROLINA

See above. -$20 cummulative 


7 POINT TEASER: NEW ENGLAND (+0) and PIT/NE OVER 37.0

Woo! A win! I'll round the payout up to $8. -$12


7 POINT TEASER: MIAMI +10 and BUFFALO +10.5 and CLEVELAND +10 and HOUSTON +10

Thank goodness for this one. Paid out at two to one, so I get $20 back. +$8



7 POINT TEASER: SEATTLE -10 and GREEN BAY -3.5

Both easy losses. -$2



U. of FLORIDA +2.5 over GEORGIA

Georgia by...fucking 3. -$12 for the week. Will be better today!


SEASON TOTAL: -$12

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

MEAT'S BACK IN THE HOUSE


Why the hell not? I still bet, I still have fingers, it's 5:30 so I don't want to work anymore today, why not get the old band back together? Jk, Heat ain't coming back.

Due to my extremely sexy betting success last year, I have more money in my account than when I started. So you know what? LET'S GET FUCKING WILD. Last year I bet $5 a bet because losing large bets sucks ass and small bets are still fun for me. But starting now...$10 A BET. Yeah, you fucking heard me. Ten dollars. I know that's an entire Hamilton, but when your picks are as dripping wet as mine are...you can afford it.

Oh, and now I just pretty much do 2-team teasers all day because they are fun. If you don't like it, you can suck Marty Mornhinweg's dick. I had to look up how to spell his stupid name.

Sure thing, Marty

Let's get down to biznasssss

7-POINT TEASER: ATLANTA +14.5 and ATL/CAR OVER 37.0

You gotta look for those football numbers - any spreads that are multiples of 3 or 7. Because that's what the fuck happens in most games, as most normal non-cocksucking teams score 3s or 7s. Or 0s in Jacksonville.

Now, Atlanta sucks shit-covered dildos, as most teams that acquire Steven Jackson tend to do (that guy is like the Winston Churchill of sucky football). Julio Jones's metal foot broke again, Roddy White's crippled ass finally sat down on the bench for a week, but...giving 7.5 to Carolina? I'd be pretty confident with Atlanta at +7.5, let alone +14.5. Carolina is too ehh offensively and it just seems that Atlanta always beats Carolina. Over 37 because I hate unders.


ATLANTA +7.5 over CAROLINA

Talked myself into it.


7 POINT TEASER: NEW ENGLAND (+0) and PIT/NE OVER 37.0

The Steelers officially blow, and for seven points, you can get New England to win straight up. There's almost no way these two teams don't put up 37, what with NE moving on the Steelers bend-but-then-break defense and Ben Roethlisberger coming alive in the second half for a storm of meaningless points, like a rising phoenix on colored-people time.

I give this 0 stars because I don't want to rate my stupid bets in stars anymore.


7 POINT TEASER: MIAMI +10 and BUFFALO +10.5 and CLEVELAND +10 and HOUSTON +10

Fuck it, home dog teaser. I can get them all for double-digits. I'm much more confident on the first two but, I mean, Houston still has the talent to keep it close with teams when Schaub isn't throwing pick-twelves and the Ravens kinda blow ass. Miami and Buffalo I think have decent shots to win straight up, as Alex Smith is the most mediocre NFL player in the entire league and Cincinnati plays more boring close games than 49-9 blowouts of a week ago. Don't put actual money on this one, I'm just getting stupid now.


One more football teaser:

7 POINT TEASER: SEATTLE -10 and GREEN BAY -3.5

These teams play Tampa Bay and Chicago at home, respectively. I think they both murder their opponent. I will bear witness to each murder.




U. of FLORIDA +2.5 over GEORGIA

This is Aaron Murray's chance to become the first Georgia QB since Shotgun McWhocares to beat UF three times in a row. This makes it somewhat of a big game for Georgia, I'd say. Georgia loses every single big game, always. You can make a lot of money by betting against Georgia. DO IT

I guess that's it for now, the rest of the college games are either irrelevant or have cartoon spreads. I think FSU pulverizes UM into snortable dust, but the 22.5 point spread gives me pause that they give up halfway through and give up a cheap cover.

Avoid the clap!

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Friday, April 19, 2013

WHAT THE F YO

If I did that parlay yesterday, but accidentally picked the opposite on each one, I'd have won. Wow. What a day.

Thanks for Yovani Gallardo, now every pitcher in MLB will be getting DUIs. WHAT A PRECEDENT TO SET GALLARDO.

Taking some time off from betting, as I'm 15-10 now and inching ever closer back to .500. Can't have that shiz yo.

Should have an NFL mock up soon that is perfect and guaranteed to happen exactly as depicted. Stay safe, humans.

Thursday, April 18, 2013

Stupid Cavs

The Cavs came out last night with all the energy of an Alabama Gay Pride festival, finding themselves down by 18 after the first quarter in Charlotte. They fought their way back in, but...just not enough. You don't want to get down 18 after one, it's one of Nancy Liebermann's "Golden Rules of Women's Basketball", and it applies to the men's game as well. Liebs was a visionary. Don't challenge her theories...you'll lose.

So, anyway, I'll get on that diamond tonight.


BET 1: GIANTS (M. Cain) @ BREWERS (Y. Gallardo), GIANTS -125

Bet $125 to win $100....sounds like some damn good odds when you've got Matt Cain on the hill against drunk Yovani Gallardo. Gallardo had sucked before his DUI, and hopefully, for karma and society's sake, he doesn't right the ship here. Seriously, pitchers are a very quirky, superstitious bunch...if Gallardo hurls a gem, and they start thinking that DUIs will fix whatever ails them on the mound, these weird motherfuckers will do it. Can't wait to see James McDonald pounding Bud Ices before tearing through the South Side, Alameda Ta'Amu style.


BET 2: PARLAY! (It's been awhile)

A: GIANTS -125, as above

B. TIGERS (Verlander) -170 over MARINERS (Asian Dude), and

C. WHITE SOX @ BLUE JAYS, OVER 7.5

Ok. A. I've explained. B. is Verlander and while a quick check shows Asian Guy has pitched well, I'll take my chances with the tower of power JV on the hill. And C. is a matchup of 2012 aces who have struggled in a hitters park and I think they'll get the 8 runs. This one pays out at +424. I'm thinking that three-way baseball parlays may be the way to go...parlays don't really give you much of a multiplier until you bring that third team in. We shalt see!

Alright, I'm 15-8. I need some wins tonight. Let's get it.

Wednesday, April 17, 2013

Saved by the Rains

Well, I lost my bet on the Giants as the Zito bandwagon had a Zapruder event as soon as I got on it. And my Cards over Pirates bet was looking bad too, as the Bucs got out to an early 4-2 lead, only to have the game postponed due to rain. So it's like it never happened. Unfortch, I'd rather lose the bet and have the Buccos win. No more betting against them from Meat, I'll let Heat do that if anybody ever sees him.

So that drops me to 15-7. Still HALL OF FAME TERRIFIC AS SHIT, players. Let's get back to Meat's ol' winning ways.



BET 1: CLEVELAND CAVS @ CHARLOTTE - CLEVELAND +2.5

This is the only type of NBA game I'll bet on at this point - two teams who both are out of the playoffs and have nothing to lose.

Now, while both these teams suck, I think Cleveland sucks a whole lot less AND they have a motivated Kyrie Irving, who was just knocked in the media for playing with a "fuck it"-itiveness at the end of the Heat game and then leaving the court before fan appreciation time. He realized his mistake, manned up, and I think he'll be all in for this one. As he's the only thing approaching an NBA player that will be out on this court, that's enough for me. He should be ok beating Bismack Boyombo or whatever his name is, and his team is getting 2.5 points to work with here.




....andddd I don't see any MLB games that I want to bet on. There are a few I want to take (Oakland over Houston for one), but baseball is far too random for me to take -180 or -210 action on a single game.

So let's just ride them Cavs.

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

In Which Kevin Correia Becomes an ACE

This doesn't make any sense whatsoever

Kevin Correia is awful at baseball. He's not good. He gives up a ton of hard contact. He was facing the Angels. I know they have sucked, but COME ON. Correia gave up like 2 runs in a lot of innings. The Twins put up about 8 runs. That's insane, yo. I'll have to keep betting on MLB games because, I guess, MLB is more about volume and sample size than any other sport.

Thought about taking the A's to rock Erik Bedard, but I remembered Bedard weaving some occasional early-season gems last year. He gave up 7 in the first inning. Oh well.

Anyway, my other two bets hit, so I went 2-1 (well, more like 1.5-1 but whatevs) to bring me to 15-6. Still going to be hard to beat that - you can make a living reading this site!

Let's see if I like anything tonight.


BET 1: CARDINALS (J. Westbrook) @ PIRATES (J. Sanchez), CARDS -1.5 @ +105

I'm not going to put any of my actual money on this because I don't want to bet against the Bucs, but...you should with yours. Jake Westbrook and the Cardinals are facing Jonathan Sanchez, a guy who is probably going to get sent to the minors. A guy who any of you Giants fans would probably be shocked to hear is still in the major leagues. That guy. He's taking on the Cards tonight. Good luck.



BET 2: GIANTS (B. Zito) @ BREWERS (W. Peralta), GIANTS @ -108

I'm just riding the Zito train, basically. I may be late but I'll take my chances. Get off the tracks!



I'm waffling on the A's-Astros OVER 7.5, but I'm gonna avoid it because I can't count on the Astros to score even a single run. Those two above will do for tonight.

Bet strong. Bet with Meat.


Monday, April 15, 2013

April 15th Picks

TAX-DAY SPECIALS AT HEAT AND MEAT!

Looks like nobody gives a fuck about the WNBA draft. Fuckers. Let's get back to what we do best...bettin' on NBA games.



BET 1: MIAMI HEAT @ CLEVELAND, MIAMI +1

What? Is there something I'm missing? Why are the Cavs favored over the Heat? Did LeBron die?

I think the Heat would win this game even in spite of his death, so I'll take the point. I have to be missing something here.



BET 2: CHICAGO BULLS @ ORLANDO, BULLS -165

Obviously like the Bulls to win, but don't want to chance them doing so by 4 or more points. I think this moneyline is decent so I'll take them to win straight up.



BET 3: LA ANGELS (J. Blanton) @ MINNESOTA (K. Correia), LAA -1.5 @ +130

Switching gears and going baseball here, I'll take the Angels to pound Kevin Correia. I know the Angels have kind of sucked, but...it's Kevin Correia. He's usually awful. He gives up a lot of hits and runs and homeruns and stuff. It's going to be cold, and it's going to snow, but...Correia will find a way.


Running total: 13-5

Friday, April 12, 2013

WNBA 2013 MOCK DRAFT!!!!






It's that time of year, kids! Nothing gets the atmosphere at Heat and Meat buzzing quite like the WNBA draft, where we transition almost immediately from the excitement of the NCAA Women's Final Four right into the draft, where the WNBA welcomes some young blood (hahahahahahaaha) into America's League.

This year, the number one pick is a soft, one-handed slam dunk pick, and everybody knows it. GRINE-TIME. Not only do the people of Phoenix get to watch the gritty on-basemanship of Martin Prado and the glove of Didi Gregorious this summer, they also get to witness the most dominating female force since Marge Thatcher on a near-nightly basis. Things can not be hotter in Phoenix this summer.

 Let's get to it, with Meat's 2013 round 1 mock draft.


1. PHOENIX MERCURY - Brittney Griner, Beast, Baylor

Our generation not only has the iPad and Bud Light Limes, we've also been lucky enough to witness Grines dominate the NCAA like no women had done before. Mark Cuban has been making waves about drafting her for the Mavs. Jim Irsay wants her as a wide receiver. But Phoenix Mercury fans, I imagine, are going to be the lucky ones who get to witness her go Ostertag all over the rest of the league. BG is big, fast (-ish, I think, maybe), and strong (I don't know). She's basically the Margaret Thatcher of women's basketball right now. She can kind of dunk, and as a matter of fact, I've read that of the 33 rim-rattling dunks in NCAA women's history, Grines is responsible for 18 of them. That's insane! That would be like saying of all the inches of dick in the world, I account for 60% of it. I WOULD KILL ENTIRE TOWNS WITH THAT MEGA-DICK! That's the kind of cock Griner will be bringing to the frontcourt of the Mercury. Oh, and she's fundamentally sound.


2. CHICAGO SKY - Skylar Diggins, Guard, Notre Dame

And the Chicago Sky are left with the unenvious position of drafting after Griner is gone. Is this the Ducks drafting Bobby Ryan after the Pens took Sid Crosby? The Mariners getting Dustin Ackley after the Nats took Strasburg? I don't think so. I think this is the Pens taking Malkin after the Caps got Ovechkin. Because Skylar Diggins can straight BALL, and she can do it fundamentally soundly, I'd imagine. She'll become a Margaret Thatcher-type leading Chicago's backcourt.

HOLD THE F ON.

Since I have basically no idea who the hell Skylar Diggins is, I had to look her up on the internet, and of course, she has naked pictures everywhere. That's unique. Solid second overall pick here for the Sky...local college player, more likely to have fucked T'eo than his actual girlfriend, naked on the internet. And apparently Lil' Wayne is trying desperately to hit that. We live in a strange, strange age.

Yourrrrrrr 2013 Chicago Sky!!!!



3. TULSA SHOCK - TRADE ALERT!

NEW YORK LIBERTY TRADE A BUNCH OF WOMEN'S PICKS AND THEIR 5th OVERALL WOMEN'S PICK TO TULSA FOR THEIR 3rd OVERALL WOMEN'S PICK

NEW YORK LIBERTY - Elena Delle-Donne, Forward, Delaware

OUR FIRST DRAFT SHOCK(ER)! Tulsa can't turn down this bounty of women's picks, not with so many holes to fix. New York, on the other hand, is desperately looking to find the next Becs Lobo and Delle-Donne is also a tall, white girl. I actually think Delle-Donne can ball out pretty hard, if I'm not mistaken, and if Chicago weren't hell bent on acquiring a local naked chick, she'd be a clear-cut second pick.

What a historic women's draft. Delle-Donne, in most years, is an easy number 1 pick. She's probably fundamentally sound. She's 6'5", and size rules in the women's game, where everybody is like, 5'7". And, she can woman-dunk. Nothing brings down an WNBA house like a thunderous womandunk. New York sees an opening and gives Tulsa whatever it wants. They need the next Lobo, and now's the time to act.



4. WASHINGTON MYSTICS - Kelsey Bone, Center, Texas A&M

Size matters in the WNBA, and the Mystics hurry to the podium to draft a bad bitch in Kelsey Bone, the 6'4" center from Texas A&M. Bone is kinda raw but, if she can put it all together and she puts in the time and sweat to improve, she has the potential to become very fundamentally sound. It's tough to pass on a Tayler Hill at this point, but Washington needs to get some size in the paint if they want to compete with the other women's teams this season.





5. TULSA SHOCK (from NY) - Tayler Hill, Guard, Ohio State

Tulsa passes on Delle-Donne for the RG-III-esque bounty of, let's say two future first round women's picks and a second rounder this year, and they go with the big guard out of Ohio State. At 5'10", Hill is going to be quite a mismatch for smaller women's basketball players, and women's basketball is a game of mismatches. Miss-matches, I call them, before shooting myself in the face out of embarrassment. Tulsa probably needs help in their women's backcourt, and Tayler "Miss Match" Hill is just the gal to provide it. And, if I might add, in a fundamentally sound manner.





6. SEATTLE STORM - Kayla Alexander, Center, Syracuse

Another 6'4" center going in the first round, this one to Seattle. Kayla Alexander will give Seattle that big shot-blocker in the paint who can grab boards and then pass them to Sue Bird. "All-Day" Kay is, I'm sure, very fundamentally sound and we all know the "Liebermann Equation"...size + fundamentals = championships. It's basically the e=mc2 of the WNBA. Kayla Anderson is about to become the Storm's Einstein. I haven't seen a bitch this bad since Margaret Thatcher.





7. TULSA SHOCK (from NY) - Toni Young, Forward, Oklahoma State

Oh snap! Turns out the Liberty had another first rounder this year that they had received from the Atlanta women's basketball team. Let's assume that this pick goes to Tulsa in the Delle-Donne deal. Tulsa will then turn around and take who I've read is the best natural athlete in this draft, 6'1" forward Toni Young out of Oklahoma State. Athleticism is nice and Toni will likely put out her own personal highlight reel of super-athletic lay-ups, but, if it's going to work out in the end, she needs to become fundamentally sound. She's going to have to work hard at the next level if she's to reach her full potential. She's going to have to learn how the pros play and really work on her all-around game. She basically needs to find her inner Margaret Thatcher.





8. SAN ANTONIO SILVER STARS - Tianna Hawkins, Forward, Maryland

Due to a rash of injuries and tragic pregnancies to their big girls, San Antonio is going to be desperate to add some size down low in this draft. Luckily for them, this epically strong draft is going to allow a fundamentally sound, Margaret Thatcher-type leader like Tianna Hawkins to fall to them in the 8th spot. Hawkins rebounds in her sleep, and rebounding is a key part of fundamentals, which are half of the Liebermann Equation. The Silver Stars hope that adding a solid fundamental force like Hawkins will allow them to continue to compete for the championship, year after year.





9. INDIANA FEVER - Kelly Faris, Guard, UCONN

Adding a woman's player from UCONN is the equivalent of adding a football player from Alabama or a bowler from Maryland-Eastern Shore. You know what you're getting from these excellent programs, and it can't hurt to add players who were brought up in an atmosphere that demands consistent success. Faris is no different. A tenacious, gritty defender, she's also fundamentally sound offensively and she can shoot that little ball they use quite well. It would behoove any team to add a player like this, and with no clear-cut choice here with Hawkins off the board, the Fever decide to do just that. Players like this are the types that really help a perennial contender like the Fever stay on top, as Nancy Liebermann probably likes to say.




10. LOS ANGELES SPARKS - Sugar Rodgers, Guard, Georgetown

A surprise pick here, as the Sparks select the lady Iverson, Sugar Rodgers. Sugar is just a natural scorer in the Iverson/Eddie House type of mold, and the Sparks here choose to go with flash. Sugs is a bit of a gunner, and she's going to have to become more fundamentally sound at the highest level of women's basketball, but her determination to get the ball in the hoop is quite impressive. It's very Margaret Thatcher of her.




11. CONNECTICUT SUN - Lindsey Moore, Guard, Nebraska

What? The team in Connecticut is called the "Sun"? Are they in a division with the Detroit Well-To-Dos and the Mississippi Tolerance? Well, regardless of their moniker, they are missing their top two guards this year due to season-ending injuries. They need somebody to step in right away, and at this point, the most likely to do that is Lindsey Moore from Nebraska. She's not the quickest or fastest or anything, but she's very fundamentally sound, she can lead the offense, and she can shoot a bit, too. Like Nancy Liebermann probably said at some point, "when in doubt, go for the fundamentals. Fundamentals are to the women's game what hepatitis is to the Hispanic population". Nancy Liebermann is kinda racist. But she's basically the Margaret Thatcher of women's basketball, and when she speaks, you listen.






12. MINNESOTA LYNX - Markel Walker, Forward, UCLA

The reigning WNBA champion Minnseota Lynx don't need much, so in this instance I think they are going to add a hybrid guard/forward in Markel Walker. Walker is a straight-up fundamental BEAST down low. A real Karl Malone type, and that's quite apt because the postal service hires a shit-ton of women these days. And Walker can really carry the letters, rain, sleet or perfect indoor women's basketball weather.

Walker is going to bang some bodies down in the paint and if these other girls don't like it, they can go play tennis. She's also quite capable of handling the little rock and running the offense from the wing. The kind of cog that can really help a championship team like Minnesota. Walker is going to make Minnesotans forget about whoever their last women's star was real quick.





Well, that's it, since there are only 12 teams in women's basketball. The Atlanta Dream don't have a first rounder, so fuck them. They can pick up some fresh young ladies in rounds 2 and 3. As always, please stay tuned to your source for hot WNBA action, Heat and Meat's Dripping Wet Sports Picks.



A's win 8-1

Not exactly how I expected the two teams to combine for 9, but, with the A's hammering the Angels 8-1, they did. And that's all that matters. That moves me to 13-5.

WNBA mock draft is coming up shortly.

Thursday, April 11, 2013

OVER






Easy over in the NCAA championship game, moving Meat to 12-5 A.F. (after football). Looked kinda dicey late in the first half, but then the runs started and that's all I needed.

Now, let's bet on baseball.

...looking....

...ok, found one I kind of like.

BET: OAKLAND A'S (AJ Griffin) @ LAA ANGLES (J. Vargas), OVER 8.0

The A's have been on fire, scoring runs in droves this season. The Angels haven't been, but they are certainly capable of it. Griffin is a highly regarded rookie/2nd year guy for Oakland, but he's just that...a young guy with an incomplete track record. Vargas is some dude I've never heard of. Think they can combine for 9 runs? I do.


Monday, April 8, 2013

YUUUUUU! And NCAA Basketball, Of Course

Me strike you out long time!

Damn sons, I expected Yu Darvish to mow down the Astros last week and break me out of my slump, but I didn't expect him to come within an out of perfect-gaming those sad sacks. Yu was cruising, but a high pitch count (he was clearly tired) forced him to go after hitters at the end. One of them, Marwin McWhothefuck, got enough to send one back up the middle and that was all she wrote. Wonder if you can bet on perfect games? Jk, you still would have lost.

So alright, I'm 11-5 now, I think. Maybe 11-6. Either way, slump is busted. 

Which means I'm always going to be right again, and with that in mind, let's get on that NCAA basketball championship game tonight!



Line on the game is Louisville -3.5. I don't know what I like there. I think Michigan wins, but I'm not the biggest college basketball person so I'm not sure enough to bet. If I had to, I'm taking Michigan plus the points. Moneyline is UM +155, which I think is another pretty good value bet if you think the Wolverines are taking this game.

So, instead of betting the line, I'm going to do what I typically do for the Penguins here and just take the over. These teams for the most part have scored 80-ish points a game. I look at this like I look at the UM-Kansas game, which turned into a shootout in the end. If any team gets up at all early, I think this game will go the same way. Louisville got behind against Wichita St on Saturday and just turned it on late. Trey Burke and Michigan are the same way. So an O/U of 138.0? A 69-69 game? I think we'll have that tonight.

MEAT'S PICK: OVER 138.0

Tuesday, April 2, 2013

Slump Continues

AINT THAT SOME POOP

Alls I remember is Memphis leading by 5 early, and then completely sucking goat-taint the rest of the way. They lost by almost 20. F THEM.

New slumpbuster: whatever Heat says. Jk lololol Heat never posts anything.

Maybe I'll solicit Daddy Long Penis for his best bet. Nah, let's just cherry pick an NBA game.

...checking...

DAMN IT. NBA bets suck tonight. I'm not going to let Washington beat me again.

Ok, I got it.



SLUMPBUSTER BET: Texas Rangers and Yu Darvish -1.5 to beat Lucas Harrell and the Astros

The Rangers, behind Darvish (who's awesome), should put it on the damn Astros, who suck. LET'S BREAK THIS SLUMP.




Record: 10-5. Guh.

Monday, March 25, 2013

Slumpbuster


Gotta get off the schneid somehow

I apologize to the legions of bettors, those who depend on this meaty analysis, for having left you...without a dope game to bet to. I was sick for most of the last week and wasn't able to tell you to bet on Robert Morris over Kentucky (I'm not joking). But anyway, let's get off of this slump.

I'm zero for my last 3 or 4 or something. That is unacceptable. The absolute opposite of acceptable. This is the Washington Generals to the Harlem Globetrotters as acceptability. If acceptability were a child beauty pageant, my picks over the past week were Jon-Benet Ramsey. If acceptability were a plane, my pilot was Corey Lidle. This gotta stop, son.

So no getting cute, no multiple bets, and no hockey or NCAA shizz. I'm going into my wheelhouse, and that's NBA.

SLUMPBUSTER BET: MEMPHIS -2.5 @ WASHINGTON, MEMPHIS -2.5

Washington sucks, but they haven't sucked lately. So good for them. But a short little run doesn't make me think that they are turning a corner or something. They are still just "John Wall and a couple of guys", and who even knows with John Wall. He's committed multiple turnovers this season during pregame shootarounds alone. 

Memphis, on the other hand, is also hot lately. BUT, they are good. Like they've been good all year. And they play great defense, just like Indiana. That typically doesn't take a night off like offense is wont to do. 

So, Memphis should win, and I'm willing to take a chance that they do so by 3 or more. So get on board with Meat, cross your fingers, and hope to win some cash, brah.

Friday, March 15, 2013

Lazy Friday

(insert random picture of sports thing)

I'm 10-3, haven't bet in awhile, so let's just make a quick pick to end the 2 bet losing streak.

BET: LAL @ IND UNDER 190.5

Can Kobe Bryant and Danny Granger lead their teams to a 190-point night? I'd doubt it, even if they weren't hurt and were actually playing in this game. This one will probably end up 65-58. 

The end.

Wednesday, March 13, 2013

Chase-a da Money

Just practicing my "laying on a bed of green" move

 So, you may have heard, yesterday was the first day of NFL free agency, where teams trip over themselves to give out huge, backloaded contracts to players who won't live up to those contracts and will be cut in three years, only to get another similar contract from some other idiot team. In my 'hood, we call it "Portering". Actually, we don't. But we should.

Every year around this time, fans get pissed at their team's players when they leave to go elsewhere for more money. "No one's going to know your name in 5 years!". "Welcome to mediocrity!". "Greedy! Don't let the door hit you on the way out!". And all that shizz. And it's fuckin' retarded. "You must not care about winning!". Yeah, I guess Peyton Manning doesn't then, either.

Let's break this down. I am firmly in the chase the money camp. For one, you really only get one shot at the huge, guaranteed-money contract. Yeah, you can get a 5-year $35 million Eric Wright deal, but then you get cut after a year and see maybe $5 mil of it. The devil is in the details, and the details are the guaranteed money. That's all you are sure to get. People yell at players to honor their contract, but, basically - the next team that honors the full length of a free agent contract will be the first. Ask James Harrison or James Farrior or Joey Porter or your teams favorite players or Javon Walker or Adalius Thomas or Anquan Boldin or anybody. They almost never see the end of those big money deals. Ever. You think Peyton Manning's going to get all five $20 mil years out of Denver? I don't. Remember this because I'm going to use him in a second.

For the Steelers right now, that player is Mike Wallace. A guy who was given pure hell last year because he wasn't giving $8 mil worth of production on his $2.5 mil restricted free agent tender, which is just so free market. (Remember that too, because I'll use it later). He jumped at the money that Miami was throwing at him, and people are crushing him for it. The same people who say the Steelers are on a bullet train to a 6-10 season because the coach is incompetent and the line sucks. And the QB's a borderline retard. So Mike Wallace likely took money over a "ring". So what? Who the fuck cares? Let's just get into all of these arguments, bullet-point style:

• "You chased money over rings!" - Who gives a shit? This is a job. One thing I learned, a very hard truth about these guys, is that fans generally care a LOT more than the players do over losses. I learned this while valeting at a club that the players went to after games. I'm not saying they were all "HA! We lost! It was awesome!"...I mean, they were generally a bit more somber than they would be otherwise, but it wasn't a huge deal. It was a bad day at the office. Do you think Lamarr Woodley cried after they lost to Cincinnati last year? I don't. Did your Uncle Donny? I bet he was fucking losing it in his Black and Gold room. Probably weeping like a dude on Maury that just found out that he was the father, or maybe like a kid who's parents just got divorced and then killed each other in a gruesome murder-suicide. Basically, take the money and be set for life. Because the team's going to cut you in three years anyway. Would you rather have $30 MM and no rings, or $12 MM and be able to say "I won a Super Bowl championship!". For me it's easily the former. The only benefit in the latter is that when you run out of money, you can sell the Super Bowl ring for cash.

• "You only care about money, not winning" - Two things. First, the NFL is so hard to predict that you never really know who's going to have a shot, even a year ahead of time. Anybody see the 8-8 Steelers and 5-11 Lions losing out to the 11-5 Colts? This isn't like choosing the Royals over the Nationals. Secondly, show me a player that only cares about winning. And I don't mean by "taking less money". Peyton Manning, a guy wildly successful in both his long career and his off-the-field endorsement life, took $20 mil from the Broncos. TWENTY FUCKING MIL! So he chose a good team. You think that means he's purely committed to winning? If he were...and I mean, if he were 100% ONLY TRULY MADLY DEEPLY COMMITTED to winning, why not take...say, $1 mil? And let the team spend that $19 around him, building a better team overall and allowing Elvis Dumervil to buy one of his Buicks? Instead, Dumervil's about to be cut and the $20 million dollar man is going to throw away another postseason berth. This is why San Francisco and Seattle can be so successful - they have QBs on their rookie deals, and second round rookie deals at that. It's a huge advantage over teams like New Orleans and Baltimore, who have QBs who are supposedly committed to winning yet who take up a full fifth of the entire motherfucking salary cap. Quash that nonsense.

• "You're greedy! Do you really need all that money?" - Shut. The. Fuck. Up. Everybody in this world chases the money. And this is not a political rant, but I hear this from a ton of conservatives. If you're a flowers and rainbows liberal then...fine, make this point in between flute-led interpretive dance sessions. But how in the world can people rectify "you are making enough money, leave some for your team to sign a left guard you greedy son-of-a-bitch!" with "man, an extra 3% on billionaires is not fair! They worked for that!". Well, so did Dwight Freeney, so let him get his damn money. 

• "It's your job! If I made a million at my job..." - Ok. There's a reason you don't make a million at your job. Actually, there are a few. Let's get into it:

- The NFL is a $9 BILLION a year industry. Supply and demand. There is a market for paying players millions upon millions to win football games. Basically, with all of this information, you could probably calculate the value of a win. Baseball has (sabermetric calculations say about $5 mil or so per win, but I'm not sure of quite what that entails - seems ridic high). Your job probably doesn't, and if it does, it's likely not on the strength of you and 51 of your employees. 

- No one is paying to watch you work, no one is buying your Office Depot replica frock or your Jeff's Marina Sales Division replica polo, and it's probably much easier to replace you than it is to replace Calvin Johnson. Calvin Johnson is probably the single greatest wide receiver on planet Earth. If I were, say, a lawyer, and I were the single greatest lawyer on the entire planet Earth and demonstrably so, I could probably get away with whatever the fuck I wanted to. Oh, and they'd pay me millions on top of millions. But at the moment, I'm writing a blog about NFL contracts on a free hosting service. I'm easier to replace than Anquan Boldin, and even he almost got cut. 

And finally, professional sports ain't really a free market. In the NFL, if you haven't been cut, you can't become a free agent without 4 years of service time. You get drafted to a job and you get a contract due to your slotting. Plain and simple. You don't really get a choice to "honor your contract". You take the contract that a bunch of dudes you don't know bargained in a room years ago to keep the government off their backs about anti-trust behavior. If you don't like it, too bad. Then after three years you get a restricted free agent tag. The team tells you what you are getting, you either take it or retire, and provisions generally restrict other teams from offering you a deal you could get on the open market. Now compare that to the real world, where you choose your job, and you can just quit at any time and go work somewhere else down the street. Imagine Mario Williams quitting the Bills and going to work for the Jets. Crazy, right? It ain't the real world. So stop comparing it to the real world.

The point is, you get one shot in your professional sporting life to make all the money you can make to not only set you up for life if you are responsible with it (yeah, yeah, that's another story altogether), but enough to set your family up for generations. It makes all the sense in the world to chase they money while you can. You can tear an ACL tomorrow pretty routinely in these jobs (RG III if he doesn't completely heal up is going to make far less than he would as a healthy RGIII). You can blow out an achilles (Fred Davis did a few weeks before becoming a free agent, cost him millions). It's a job, people. It's 2013. Get used to it.